NBA DFS Picks & Lineup Optimizer Building Blocks Today | Friday, March 18 (2024)

eric macpherson

·5 min read

Friday, March 18, brings a robust schedule with 12 NBA games starting at 7 p.m. ET on Yahoo, DraftKings and FanDuel. Let’s look at the player pool and discuss the top NBA DFS picks today for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo lineups. As always, you can head over to the Awesemo NBA DFS & Fantasy Basketball home page for all the fantasy basketball content you need for any given slate.

NBA DFS Picks: Fantasy Basketball Building Blocks Today | Friday, March 18

Yahoo Play of the Day — Pascal Siakam: Toronto Raptors vs. Los Angeles Lakers

  • Awesemo’s Preliminary Point Projections: Yahoo and FanDuel: 43.5 | DraftKings: 44.47

  • Awesemo’s Preliminary Rostered Projections: Yahoo 26.6% | FanDuel 4.7% | DraftKings 11.9%

  • DFS Salary: Yahoo $35 | FanDuel $9,500 | DraftKings $8,900

Pascal Siakam is looking like a steal on Yahoo tonight at $35 with the only knock against him being his center-only eligibility. O.G. Anunoby and Malachi Flynn remain out, but it seems as if Fred VanVleet has moved beyond his knee soreness. Siakam has 40 or more fantasy points in six of his last seven games and he is averaging just over 50 fantasy points in his last four. Four nights ago he dropped 27 points, 11 rebounds, 5 assists plus a block and a steal against the Lakers. Tonight, a similar outcome is well within reach of the Cameroonian.

Luka Doncic: Dallas Mavericks at Philadelphia 76ers

While Dejounte Murray is a much better play than Luka Doncic on Yahoo where he has a 20% discount, the Slovenian is a far superior play on DraftKings and FanDuel. Over its last seven games, Philadelphia has allowed 116.2 points per possession, and even Matisse Thybulle will be hard-pressed to slow down the face of the Maverick franchise. Doncic is above or near career highs in most statistical categories. Since the beginning of February, he is averaging 37.3 minutes with 33.6 points, 10.2 rebounds, 8.0 assists, 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocks.

Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz

Reggie Jackson stands out at $28 on Yahoo while averaging just over 40 fantasy points in his last four games. Ivica Zubac is a solid main-slate tournament option who becomes a core play on the late slate. The rest of the Clippers are not particularly exciting unless we get some unforeseen injury news. Their ancillary contributors can be sprinkled in for late-slate tournaments.

Utah is quite shorthanded tonight with Donovan Mitchell, Bojan Bogdanovic, Danuel House, Udoka Azubuike and Trent Forrest all listed as out. That means major opportunities for Rudy Gobert and Mike Conley along with Jordan Clarkson, who is still solid even coming off the bench as he should see 32-35 minutes. Be careful with Nickeil Alexander-Walker, who has not been in the rotation since joining the Jazz and in the last game, he saw almost half of his 22 minutes come during mop-up duty. Rudy Gay, Juancho Hernangomez and Eric Paschall are also risky options. Hassan Whiteside does have tremendous upside potential, however, this main slate is loaded with centers.

Indiana Pacers at Houston Rockets

The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson (concussion) tonight, plus Goga Bitadze (foot) and Chris Duarte (toe) are both questionable. The thinned-out frontcourt is leading to a surge in popularity for Jalen Smith, who may finally crack 30 minutes of run for just the second time since joining the Pacers. Tyrese Haliburton is coming off one of his worst fantasy performances of the season, however, he has racked up at least 40 fantasy points in 11 of his 14 starts for Indiana. Buddy Hield is heavily scoring dependent, though if Duarte misses tonight the former King should see 15 to 17 field goal attempts. It is hard to trust Malcom Brogdon on such a large slate with his mercurial results and Oshae Brissett loses his appeal unless both Duarte and Bitadze are on the sideline.

Houston is mostly healthy, but with this game projecting for a whopping 243.5 points and the Pacers’ dreadful defense, we have a reciprocal game-stack situation. Christian Wood is just $29 on Yahoo, which is a steal. Kevin Porter Jr., Jalen Green and Jae’Sean Tate are tournament options on the main slate. Dennis Schroder and Alperen Sengun become relevant for the mid-evening slate and, of course, if anyone is ruled out, additional opportunities will become available.

Look to Porter in this matchup against the Pacers in the NBA player prop market. Currently he has a 3.5 over/under on his rebound prop, and the Awesemo NBA player projections have him for 4.8, which gives him a 70% probability of surpassing the over. In 13 of his last 14 games, Porter has recorded at least three rebounds and he has logged four or more in nine of those appearances.

Final Thoughts on NBA DFS picks for the Friday, March 18 Fantasy Basketball Slate

Friday brings a disbursed main slate with games tipping off at six different times. There are also three different games projected for at least 237.5 points, which should make for some wild DFS scores.

The post NBA DFS Picks & Lineup Optimizer Building Blocks Today | Friday, March 18 appeared first on Awesemo.com.

NBA DFS Picks & Lineup Optimizer Building Blocks Today | Friday, March 18 (2024)

FAQs

What is the best NBA DFS optimizer? ›

FTN's NBA Lineup Optimizer for DFS is the best optimizer for daily fantasy (DFS) basketball players. With this optimizer, you'll always be playing to win. It's almost impossible to scale and win consistency in NBA DFS without an optimizer. If you haven't used one yet — welcome to the big leagues.

How do you get good at NBA DFS? ›

Having accurate projections is essential to success in NBA DFS, though. Being one minute or a couple fantasy points off a player's true projection can make or break your night, as it makes a good play look like a great one and then all of a sudden you're overcommitted.

How is NBA DFS value calculated? ›

Value Option:

The “X value” metric is simply fantasy points scored divided by salary times 1000. For example, if a player is priced at $5000 and scores 35 fantasy points, that is 7X value. In NBA DFS, these options are normally must-play popular options, especially in lower risk contests.

What is DFS in fantasy basketball? ›

Daily fantasy sports are an accelerated variant of traditional fantasy sports that are conducted over short-term periods, such as a week or single day of competition, as opposed to those that are played across an entire season.

What is the most accurate NBA prediction site? ›

The tipsters at Oddspedia are the best in the industry, and you can even track the progress of their successful betting predictions. With so many competitions for cash prizes, Oddspedia is able to attract the top NBA forecasters.

What is the best DFS lineup optimizer? ›

Daily Fantasy Nerd is my go-to site for creating winning lineups. The optimizer, projections, and tools are second to none. This is the best site to step up your daily fantasy game. Daily Fantasy Nerd has the best lineup optimizer and is a great tool for helping me pick my lineups for daily fantasy sports.

How to win DFS? ›

Here are what we've found works best:
  1. Pick 3 game stacks, play both QBs from your game stacks, resulting in 6 QBs for your player pool (2 game stacks, 4 QBs for 20 lineups).
  2. Keep a tight RB pool. ...
  3. Expand your WRs. ...
  4. Keep a small TE pool. ...
  5. Limit your DSTs. ...
  6. Don't play any offensive players against your DSTs.

What do NBA scouts look for in a player? ›

Scouting criteria

The most basic projections which a scout must make include the player's physical status such as height, weight, age, position, and conditioning. The scout will also study the player's skillset including: shooting and scoring capabilities, ball handling, defensive capabilities, and passing abilities.

How to win big on FanDuel NBA? ›

Click Here to Get Started Playing on FanDuel
  1. Consult playing time/usage stats – don't go by name only.
  2. Stay on top of injuries and roster cheap backups.
  3. Use multi-stat contributors.
  4. Choose consistent bench options.
  5. Beware of inconsistent rookies.
  6. Pay up for guards, not bigs.
  7. Consider travel schedule and rest.
Nov 3, 2023

What does ROI mean in DFS? ›

ROI or RETURN ON INVESTMENT

ROI is a measure of your profitability, expressed by a percentage. To calculate ROI, you use this formula: (Gross Winnings – Amount Invested) / Amount Invested.

How to determine value in DFS? ›

DFS Value = Projected Ownership – Projected Plus/Minus

In a contest where risk is inevitable, you only stand to lose value when a player increases in ownership.

What is NBA expected value? ›

The expected value is how many points you will make per shot, on average, after taking many many shots. So for 2 pointers we would get 2 points, 55% of the time. The expected value is 2 * . 556 = 1.11 points.

What is the best NBA DFS site? ›

DraftKings and FanDuel both offer services as large NBA betting sites & DFS operators. They are also the biggest operators in the daily fantasy sports industry, they're able to provide the most variety and largest contests.

Is DFS gambling? ›

Yes, daily fantasy sports is a type of gambling. Although it is not legally considered gambling (since it is perceived by the federal government to be based on skill rather than luck), it still involves wagering real money on unknown outcomes, which is the definition of gambling.

What does F mean in fantasy basketball? ›

F. Forward. Any small forward, power forward, forward, guard/forward, or forward/center.

Who has the best shooting efficiency in the NBA? ›

Effective Field Goal Percentage
1.Daniel GaffordDAL72.5
2.Trayce Jackson-DavisGSW70.2
2.Luke KornetBOS70.2
4.Nick RichardsCHA69.1
5.Jalen SmithIND67.0
5 more rows

Is SaberSim worth it? ›

"Traditional optimizers are outdated. I've tried almost every one of them, and SaberSim is the best one, hands down." "SaberSim notices players I'd never pick up on. You get more leverage and value using a sim built by data scientists."

What is the best advanced statistics for basketball NBA executives weigh in? ›

Box Plus-Minus (BPM) aims to evaluate how much a player contributed when they are on the court. BPM incorporates box score performance, team performance and player position to rate how well a player performed above league average per 100 possessions.

What are the most predictive NBA team stats? ›

NBA Predictive Rankings & Ratings
RankTeamRating
1Boston (79-21)9.2
2Okla City (63-29)6.3
3Minnesota (65-33)5.6
4Denver (64-30)4.6
26 more rows

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